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Washington insider James A. Thurber talks on the 2012 U.S. election

Washington insider James A. Thurber talks on the 2012 U.S. election


with over forty days left before the
election it looks like Barack Obama the president of the United States is a is
slightly ahead in the seven battleground states it looks like Barack Obama will
win it’s going to be very close the performance of the economy between now
and the election will be important but also the debate will be important on
October third if the President does very well and remember he used to be a
professor at the University of Chicago and is used to the give and take in
Socratic method or debate and Mitt Romney does poorly then that really is
going to set the election it’ll influence those last few voters who
haven’t made up their mind the latest polls show about eight percent of the
american people in the battleground states have not made up their mind and
so we’re spending hundreds of millions of dollars in america from both
campaigns trying to get those eight percent to go one way or the other the
main issue still is the economy but it’s also the character and the background of
the candidates especially the background and character and the statements from
Mitt Romney that don’t seem to be going too well at this point 2008 it was about the economy it was
also about a very unpopular incumbent party Bush was at thirty-eight percent
at that point in the polls and so Barack Obama who was knew he was exciting
charismatic had a clear strategy theme and message was saying if you want four
more years of bush elect McCain McCain late in the campaign changed his mind
about the economy but he had a statement early when he said it looks like the
fundamentals of this economy are going well when we were losing eight hundred
and jobs a month seven hundred thousand obviously he was wrong and that was used
against him that is not the case now the president’s had to govern he’s had to
make hard decisions he has a Republicans in the majority in the House of
Representatives that try to stop everything he’s doing and the economy
has turned around but not enough the housing market has not turned around
enough and that’s driving the economy to a certain extent we have eight point one
percent unemployment some of the battleground states though are
significantly below that except for Nevada below that unemployment rate
including Ohio that’s key to this election Ohio has an unemployment rate
in certain sectors of 6.2 percent and it’s well below the national average for
the entire state third parties are very difficult to
created in the United States because the law in each state that gives access to
the ballot are controlled by the Democratic and Republican Party that’s
one area where they agree let’s make it hard for a third party so it’s very hard
to create a third party you have to have a write-in campaign with signatures and
documented signatures well in advance of the election in order to get on the
ballot as a third party so it’s really not been viable since Ross Perot ran
when Clinton was first elected he got nineteen percent of the vote with the
Reform Party and no party has been that successful sense the Reform Party is
still there but it’s not very popular so it’s very difficult second reason why we
don’t have a third party as most Americans are either Democrats or
Republicans and that socialization influences their behavior in terms of
trying to create a third party two-thirds of America are Democrats or
Republicans the independence are thirty-eight percent they in fact ours
like a third party they we have D alignment going on people moving from
Democratic Republic to independent but they aren’t they aren’t creating a party
around that at this point there’s significant differences in the party
throughout the United States it’s not centrally controlled we don’t have a
central core of authority they don’t control even the platform or recruitment
or the money we really have a hundred parties or even more than 100 parties in
the United States with Democrats in the state of Washington very different than
Democrats in Alabama than the Democrats in Massachusetts or upper state and same
with the Republicans so that expresses the diversity and the difference and in
fact the Republicans are seeing this with the so-called Tea Party movement
very conservatives people that are dominating the party in certain states
like Utah and that makes it difficult for a national party to control things

Author Since: Mar 11, 2019

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